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最新的有《叶问》《狼牙》《梅兰芳》《硬汉》《爱情呼叫转移2爱情左右》《证人》《桃花运》《烈焰奇侠.黄金军团》《生死新纪元》《预见未来》《007大破量子危机》《速度与激情之A2狂飚 》《通辑令》《地心历险记》 国内: 《过界》《画皮》《保持通话》《李米的猜想》 《即日启程》《剑蝶》《超强台风》《武术之少年行》《夺标》 打从2008年十一月底开始到2009年那些打着贺岁片幌子的影片算起,直到春节档期,院线将会排出超过十多部华语片,09年贺岁片票房最高《非诚勿扰》或、《赤壁》下集 一、《桃花运》:绝对地占了先机,虽然和葛优闹矛盾,但却因为葛优的号召力,抢了个开门红。我认为这部片在《梅兰芳》杀到前,应能收个四千万票房,媲美奥运期间的《十全九美》。 二、《证人》:谢霆锋投入演出,可惜像《保持通话》,戏虽好,却缺乏吸引观众入场的元素,我估计收入在二千万之间。 三、《爱情呼叫转移》续集《爱情左右》:风格接近《桃花运》,一女配十二男,林嘉欣的叫座能力受到考验,同期若遇上《梅兰芳》,相信票房一定受到影响,估计“她”能收三千万。 四、《硬汉》:大男人阳刚的风格,以刘烨、黄秋生、孙红雷、尤勇和于荣光一班猛男作号召,戏拍得甚有格调,但恐怕与整个节日氛围不太协调,电影院里,只能成为观众的第二或第三选择,希望“他”能有一千五百万票房,足矣! 五、《狼牙》:以吴京的功夫和身手挂帅,也是他首次执导的作品,大片包围下,《狼牙》只能吸引一些酷爱动作的影迷,和《硬汉》一样,票房只能作保守的估计。 六、《梅兰芳》:发行方拷贝数和宣传费都超越《赤壁》,对陈凯歌,大家今次都回复信心,不怕他重蹈《无极》的覆辙!片方希望收入三亿,我看是接近二亿已能达标。 七、《女人不坏》:避开梅兰芳,徐克是希望为他这部喜剧多争取一些数码厅,正确上映期是十二月十一日,三大女星中以张雨绮的演出最耀眼亮目,戏院银幕决定成败,我估计此片能收三千五到四千万之间。 八、《叶问》:甄子丹当然有一定捧场客,若排在平时档期,我认为此片能多收30%,现在,猜“他”的票房在八千万左右。 九、《非诚勿扰》:冯小刚加葛优的金字招牌。是正牌贺岁片。要知道,内地贺岁片王就是冯小刚,今年推出的更是喜剧,所以,和华谊兄弟的预测一样,收三亿最好,起码也有二亿五,超越《集结号》。 十、《大搜查》:麦兆辉、庄文强这部片一波三折,最终可能排到09年1月1日上映。郑秀文休后复出,本来有一定吸引,可惜上映档期一而再再而三地改动,说真的,有些泄气了。我对这部片的质素有信心,希望它能收三千万,愿矣! 十一、《赤壁》下集:上集收三亿,还未拍到戏肉,吴宇森的“三国”英雄,虽引起争议,但你又不得不看,春节档才是大档,此片票房有权在原基础上再递增20%,三亿五吧,能否破《泰坦尼克号》,就要看有没有不断重看的观众。 十二、《家有喜事2009》:黄百鸣的招牌好戏,港式贺岁片,谷德昭执导,古天乐吴君如一众港星演出。在香港,收过千万应没问题。在内地,就要看那些趣味会否被受落。 十三、《游龙戏凤》:刘伟强最新作品,刘德华和舒淇,还有个“谷子地”张涵予。看过的人无不赞好,刘导手法时尚有型,喜剧包装,赏心悦目,肯定能让刘伟强晋身“亿元票房俱乐部”,华谊兄弟发行,收一亿五没问题! 十四、《海角七号》:听说这部台湾史上最卖座片会“引进”内地,虽然“台湾色彩”较重,但拍的是小人物故事,加上七封“情书”包装,应有一定吸引,能收千万已算BINGO。
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