推荐回答(2个)
区分主板和中小板的巨大差别
次新股的行情一般产生于震荡的常态行情中,在主流热点逐渐消失,新的主流热点没有形成之时,次新股行情往往成为维持市场人气的主要板块。目前,A股次新股主要在深圳中小板和上海主板上市。上市的背景、规模等因素决定了两者的巨大区别。
中小板新股机会把握
规律之一:一般低于首日涨幅平均水平的次新股,在其后的表现中更有机会。操作中,一定注意那些首日涨幅偏低的股票,其机会要远大于其他个股。此外,虽然同属于中小板股票,但股本的差异仍然决定了首日涨幅的高度,比如在流通股本超过6000万股以上的5家中小板公司中,剔除中工国际其首日平均涨幅仅为59.38%,远低于4000万流通股本以下品种的水平。
规律之二:相对于4000万股以下流通股本的品种而言,尽管6000-8000万股的流通股本要大很多,但其总体也是偏小的,其流动性性比4000万股以下流通股本的品种好。对于大机构而言,其流动性是决定其投资的一个重要参数,而6000-8000万股的流通股本从后期炒作角度而言,无疑将更胜一筹。何况它们上市首日的定位要低于4000万股以下流通股本的品种,这类流通股本相对较大的中小板股票应该作为上市后期投资者重点关注的品种。
规律之三:行业地位差异并不完全决定其后期走势,如远光软件、瑞泰科技等品种,尽管首日定位很高,但其后期走势无一例外地缓慢走低。但化工类股票中江山化工的首日涨幅较低,后期却成为中小板股票中涨幅最大的品种之一。其关键还在于低起点的股票往往蕴涵着价值低估,在表现相对一般的基础类行业中挖掘黑马是一个方向。
主板次新股机会把握
由于没有小流通股本的优势,主板上市的次新股上市定位拼的是基本面的好坏,其首日定位总体比较合理,特别在相对小流通股本的品种中容易跑出黑马。其市场机会在于:第一,中国国航的破发是一种标志,其后大盘新股的发行节奏有所放慢,当市场环境改变时,此类“受委屈”的公司往往出现爆发性行情;第二,管理层有意让更多的好公司和大市值公司登陆内地股市,一来增加蓝筹数量,二来稳定大盘;第三,股指期货即将在年底正式推出,大盘蓝筹指标股必定会成为机构长期持有的筹码,短期内出现的稀缺性,使得这些股票具有了上涨动力。
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