推荐回答(3个)
持仓费用是决定近期合约和远期合约价格升贴水幅度的基本因素。它是为持有商品而必须支付的仓储费、交割费、利息等费用。由于持仓费用的存在使得在正常情况下远期合约价格应该高于近期合约。
当远期合约价格与近期合约价格差额高过套利成本的时候就出现套利机会:
10.16 出现套利机会的品种:白糖
操作思路:
买入近期合约同时卖出相同数量的远期合约
近期合约:SR801合约:3996元/吨(10月16日上午10:50价格)
远期合约:SR807合约:4256元/吨(10月16日上午10:50价格)
合约差价:SR807-SR801=260元/吨
考虑白糖做跨期套利好处:
仓单共用,买入SR801合约仓单,同样可以用于SR807合约的交割
同时:根据交易所规定,买入SR801合约仓单用于SR807合约的卖出交割不需要考虑升贴水问题
根据交易所规定:
某一制糖年度生产的白糖可用于该制糖年度结束后的当年11月份,且从该制糖年度结束后的当年11月份,且从当年8月份开始并逐月增加贴水,贴水标准为10元/吨。
1、 交割成本
套利成本=仓储费+资金利息+交易、交割费用+增值税
1.仓储费
5月1日-9月30日:0.40元/吨.天
其它时间:0.35元/吨.天
2.交割手续费
1元/吨(单方)
3.交易手续费
10元/吨(单方)
4.年贷款利率
6.21%
5.增值税
增值税以价差250元/吨来计
(除去交易和交割费用后的价格差)
2、 套利成本
七个月套利成本
仓储费(吨)
资金利息
交易交割费用
增值税
合计
75*0.4+106*0.35
0
2+20
250*13%
67.1
0
22
32.5
121.6
使用自有资金
根据当前260元/吨的合约差价
跨期套利的利润为:260-121.6=138.4元/吨
跨期套利:就是同时买入或卖出同种类期货合约,数量相同,方向相反,但交割月份不同的合约。即你买入N手3月份铜期货合约,需要同时卖出N手5月(不同的交割月)的铜期货合约。
套利操作要点:
第一点:开仓与平仓的两个合约一定要同时进行,这是要点。
第二点:套利不是以开仓与平仓的绝对价格来计算盈亏的,而是以开仓时的价差与平仓的价差来计算的。
价差是指开仓或平仓时同时买入与卖出之间的价格差。
举例:
开仓时:3月铜50000元/手,5月铜的53000元/手,这时我们买入3月铜,卖出5月铜,两者价差为3000元;
平仓时:
A.假如平仓时价格同时上涨,3月铜为55000元/手,5月铜为56000元/手,价差为1000元,那么我们获利就是2000*N手。
B.假如平仓时价格同时下跌,3月铜为48000元/手,5月铜为50000元/手,价差为2000,那么我们获利就是1000*N手。
上面的情况属于卖出套利,即价差缩小,不管上涨或下跌都会盈利;如果是买入套利,只要价差扩大,不管价格上涨或下跌都会盈利,这段话就是套利操作的重点,只要记住就OK!
至于买入套利和卖出套利的区分则以价格较高的合约进行区分就行,买入价格较高合约的为买入套利,卖出价格较高合约的为卖出套利。
套利是在两个合约之间的价差处于不合理状态下进行的,可以通过以往的合约之间价差进行对比,但要考虑持仓费等其他变动因素!风险较小,但理论上风险小,实践上还是有风险的,入市须谨慎。
跨期套利就是你觉得短期跟长期的价格之间有利润空间,就可以买入近期的同时卖出原期,或者卖出近期的同时买入远期.
最后平仓获利
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